News vs. noise The economy is doing better than expected but showing signs of cooling, stock and bond markets were strong after a Fed rate cut - especially some previously out-of-favor stock styles, expectations for mega-cap and other Growth stocks cooled, a discussion about interesting personal wealth investor tax reduction strategies… we cover that [Read More]
Macroeconomic Environment The markets were stellar in 3Q24, generating strong returns across asset classes and reflecting a positive outlook that strength remains in the economy despite signs of cooling. The Fed’s move to ease monetary policy to help the economy navigate a soft landing was no surprise, but the size of the move was [Read More]
News vs. noise Stock markets continue up, bonds are flat, rates remain unchanged, inflation is cooling, and the recession-avoiding soft-landing appears to be happening… so far. The average investor’s guesses about the direction of the market as wrong as often as they are right. That and more in this quarter’s Quarterly Context webinar …Watch [Read More]
Politics Upstage Economic News Global broad market performance was lackluster in 2Q24 (MSCI ACWI: +2.9%; Equal-weighted S&P 500: -2.6%; Bloomberg Global Aggregate: -1.1%). Economic news was also mostly humdrum. The economy continued to chug along; 2Q real GDP growth is expected to be around 2% annualized. The labor market remained resilient, inflation trended down [Read More]
It’s natural to feel anxious about investing. Investors all want to make the best decisions when it comes to their money and wealth management—decisions that will help your portfolio grow bigger without excessive risk. However, the investment decision process can be overwhelming, given the many available options and pitfalls. And when you’re entrusting the [Read More]
News vs. noise Is there still a chance of a recession? Inflation has small a surprise uptick, Fed interest rates remained unchanged, causing bond to wobble since investors were hoping rates would fall. Stock markets, especially many of the biggest stocks performed well yet again. However, some mega-cap stocks cooled, it wouldn’t be surprising [Read More]
A recent financial literacy study from Investopedia shows Generation X (or Gen X) is invested in—and concerned about—retirement. Currently between 44 and 59 years old in 2024, Gen Xers recognize that it’s time to get serious about retirement savings. The study showed the top 3 worries for Gen Xers are retirement (21%), followed by [Read More]
Macroeconomic Environment While it may feel like we are in a “higher forever” world with respect to stock prices or interest rates, we know this scenario is implausible, if not impossible. Amid a backdrop of low volatility mixed with investor enthusiasm (especially around anything to do with artificial intelligence) and better-than-expected economic news, the [Read More]
Macroeconomic Environment The most widely predicted recession in recent history did not materialize in 2023. In late 2022, 85% of economists polled by the Financial Times predicted a recession in 2023. Consumers were also gloomy, affected by post-pandemic blues and worries over rising inflation, especially gas and food prices, and stagnating wages. In 1Q23, [Read More]
News vs. noise Stock and bond markets came out better than expected in 2023 despite rate hikes, wars and collapsed banks, the chance of recession is dropping but still exists, markets may be more tepid in 2024, bonds got a boost at the end of the year. That and more in this quarter’s Quarterly [Read More]
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